Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Probability
100¢
1h
+48.5pp
24h
+49.0pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$234.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 49pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +48.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 49.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 05:45SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 49.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 05:45SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 1d agoResolveHIGH
Market resolved 26h ago
Price movement
+49.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +15.5pp at 05:00 (to 51¢).
Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
- 05:00 · +15.5pp → 51¢
- 03:00 · -15.0pp → 25¢
- 02:00 · -11.5pp → 25¢
- 00:00 · +9.0pp → 45¢
- 22:00 · +7.0pp → 44¢
- 19:00 · +12.0pp → 49¢
- 18:00 · +13.0pp → 50¢
- 17:00 · +13.0pp → 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 4 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jaden McDaniels records more than 4.5 total rebounds during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Jaden McDaniels records 4.5 rebounds or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.