SportsExpires May 7, 2026
Creator

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Probability

32¢

1h

+1.5pp

24h

-18.0pp

24h Vol

$50.04

Liquidity

$3.6K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the score at halftime only
Link
nba.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 7, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 5, 2026, 06:00May 6, 2026, 07:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-06T07-11Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 18pp over 24h

    Now 32¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 18h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 18 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 01:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 18.3h

    HIGH
  • 07:11Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 18h.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-18.0pp over the last 24h, now 32¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventTimberwolves vs. Spurs
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the first half of the NBA game between Timberwolves and Spurs, scheduled for May 6 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves are winning at halftime. This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning at halftime. If the score is tied at halftime, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

7 wallets
Open on Polymarket