Where can I see the live data, signals, and large-trade flow for this market?

Orrery's per-market terminal at https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-sas-2026-06-03-total-216pt5 renders a 7-day probability chart, recent trades scoped to this market, top YES/NO holders, all firing signals (momentum / divergence / flow / resolution-risk), and an AI-generated movement explanation. A machine-readable Markdown summary is available at https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-sas-2026-06-03-total-216pt5/markdown.

SportsExpires Jun 4, 2026

Creator

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

Probability

52¢

+2.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$246.5K

Liquidity

$195.5K

Research loop

Inspect detail

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

Markets Detail Watchlist Alert Brief

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

NEAR EXPIRY

Reason

Resolves in 2h.

The derived status is computed from the source flags plus the live YES price, so a market trading near a rail can read as PRICE-PINNED while upstream is still active. That isn't the same as resolved.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: Jun 4, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
nba.com
Market type: Binary

Market expires Jun 4, 2026 — dispute window active.

Share risk card Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

52¢

May 31, 2026, 23:00 UTCJun 3, 2026, 22:51 UTC

updated 22:52:32 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-06-03T22-52Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

01
Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 52¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.
02
Active signal
Divergence observation firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +2.0pp vs. 24h -3.0pp.
03
Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Expires in 2h.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: Jun 4, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
nba.com
Market type: Binary

Market expires Jun 4, 2026 — dispute window active.

Share risk card Read full market rules on Polymarket

Verification brief

live to resolution sensitive

The market is still live, but settlement mechanics are becoming the most important thing to verify.

Primary source

required

Confirm the primary source source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.

Current evidence: https://www.nba.com/

Contract wording

required

Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule.

Settlement state

required

Check whether the market is still live, expired-unresolved, UMA pending, disputed, or officially resolved.

Current evidence: Near expiry

Telegram pilot prompt

Orrery verification task Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 State: Near expiry — live to resolution sensitive Need sources for: 1. Primary source: Confirm the primary source source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question. 2. Contract wording: Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule. 3. Settlement state: Check whether the market is still live, expired-unresolved, UMA pending, disputed, or officially resolved. Drop only durable links that map to one criterion. Research only. Not trade advice.

X verification post

Orrery verification brief Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 State: live to resolution sensitive Verify: Primary source + Contract wording Price is not settlement. Research only. Not trade advice.

Market link goes in reply

Source-drop audit

Submit durable sources that map to one resolution criterion.

Recent drops

Contributor audit

Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

00:30Scheduled resolution
Market resolves in 1.6h
HIGH
22:52Signal
Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +2.0pp vs. 24h -3.0pp.
MEDIUM
22:52Signal
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h.
LOW

Price movement

-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.

Biggest hourly move: -5.5pp at 21:00 (to 50¢).

Show 2 hourly moves

22:00 · -3.5pp → 52¢
21:00 · -5.5pp → 50¢

updated 22:52:32 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open large-trade flow Browse related markets Alert me on the next trade

updated 22:52:32 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 3 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Knicks and Spurs combine to score 217 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 217, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Why this category?

confidence: high

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5"?

As of Wed, 03 Jun 2026 22:52:32 GMT, YES is priced at 52% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -3.0pp in the last 24 hours, +2.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 4, 2026 (2026-06-04T00:30:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.nba.com/.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$246.5K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $257.0K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $195.5K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.0¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket