Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

1. 1

   Heavy volume on this book — 15.7× turnover

   $366.7k traded against $23.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $23.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   Past expiry — awaiting resolution

   Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.