SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Thunder vs. Suns

Probability

81¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$168.0K

Liquidity

$2.9M

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 16:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $168.0k traded against $2.9M of visible liquidity (0.06× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 17h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Expiry in 17h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 17 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 01:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 16.5h

    HIGH
  • 08:57Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 17h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 81¢.

Biggest hourly move: +8.5pp at 3d ago (to 81¢).

Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · -8.5pp → 77¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 77¢
  • 2d ago · -7.5pp → 77¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 78¢
  • 3d ago · +8.5pp → 81¢
  • 3d ago · +7.5pp → 80¢
  • 3d ago · +7.5pp → 80¢
  • 3d ago · +8.0pp → 80¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 9:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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