Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
Probability
51¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$10.4K
Liquidity
$86.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $10.4k traded against $86.6k of visible liquidity (0.12× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 15h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 15 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 01:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 14.6h
- 10:51SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 81¢0.0pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Sports · Vol $201.8K
- 89¢0.0pp
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $201.03
- 50¢0.0pp
Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Mark Williams: Points O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $3.5K
- 97¢0.0pp
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $87.39
- 1¢0.0pp
Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $8.2K
- 89¢0.0pp
Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5
Other · Vol $874.91
- 0¢-38.5pp
Lakers vs. Rockets
Sports · Vol $11.4M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $857.1K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $754.6K
- 50¢-4.0pp
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Sports · Vol $731.3K
- 16¢+1.8pp
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $713.3K
Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Odd-Beggar4.8K
- Secret-Turmeric1.5K
- Muffled-Pelican1.0K
- Tiny-Gaming985
- Lone-Application557