Paul George: Points O/U 15.5
Probability
31¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$3.77
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 41.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 12h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 12.5h
- 15:30SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-19.5pp over the last 24h, now 31¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paul George scores more than 15.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Paul George scores 15.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (41.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.