Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$6.2K
Liquidity
$68.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $6.2k traded against $68.5k of visible liquidity (0.09× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 14h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 14 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 14.1h
- 13:56SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.