SportsExpires May 22, 2026
Creator

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Probability

35¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-12.0pp

24h Vol

$53.8K

Liquidity

$34.1K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 22, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official NBA data
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 4, 2026, 17:00May 6, 2026, 06:57
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-06T06-57Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 12pp over 24h

    Now 35¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.6× turnover

    $53.8k traded against $34.1k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 12.0pp in 24h with 1.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 40¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 377.0h

    LOW
  • 06:57Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 12.0pp in 24h with 1.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH

Price movement

-12.0pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

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updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Cavs” if the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Playoffs Conference Semifinals series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Detroit Pistons. This market will resolve to “Pistons” if the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Playoffs Conference Semifinals series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Detroit Pistons. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

20 wallets
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