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SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Probability

34¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+7.5pp

24h Vol

$634.12

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 8pp over 24h

    Now 34¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 59h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 19.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 59h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 59 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 59.1h

    HIGH
  • 16:56Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 59h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:56Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00AM ET: If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
based on the final score including any overtime periodsAmbiguous wording
nba.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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