SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

Probability

100¢

1h

+28.4pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$16.8K

Liquidity

$445.5K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
nba.com
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 30, 2026, 01:00Apr 30, 2026, 02:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $16.8k traded against $445.5k of visible liquidity (0.04× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 04
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 23:30Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventRaptors vs. Cavaliers
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket