SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

Probability

52¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+4.0pp

24h Vol

$362.5K

Liquidity

$278.0K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
nba.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 21:00Apr 29, 2026, 23:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 52¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 4.0pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:24Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 4.0pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM
  • 23:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 04:00Resolve

    Market resolved 19h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.

Biggest hourly move: +22.0pp at 09:00 (to 48¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 23:00 · +4.5pp → 52¢
  • 21:00 · +3.5pp → 51¢
  • 20:00 · +4.0pp → 51¢
  • 09:00 · +22.0pp → 48¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventRaptors vs. Cavaliers
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket