Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1570h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $18.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.