SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Spread: Sabres (-1.5)

Probability

39¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$8.3K

Liquidity

$57.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 22:00Apr 28, 2026, 18:08
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 39¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $8.3k traded against $57.4k of visible liquidity (0.15× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 5h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.4h

    HIGH
  • 18:08Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the NHL game, scheduled for April 28 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sabres" if the Sabres win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bruins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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