NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Lightning Total Games O/U 5.5
Probability
75¢
1h
+7.5pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$96.92
Liquidity
$92.12
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 75¢; +7.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 874h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 28.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 874.3h
- 13:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 874h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:40PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 75¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 78¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 79¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 79¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 79¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 77¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 66¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 75¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 75¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 70¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 5.5 games are played during the 2026 NHL Playoffs First Round series between the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (28.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).