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SportsExpires Jun 1, 2026

NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Lightning Total Games O/U 5.5

Probability

75¢

1h

+7.5pp

24h

-2.0pp

24h Vol

$96.92

Liquidity

$92.12

Probability (last 7 days)

+13.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:40
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 75¢; +7.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 874h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 28.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 874.3h

    LOW
  • 13:40Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 874h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:40Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 5.5 games are played during the 2026 NHL Playoffs First Round series between the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (28.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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