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OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

Spread: IK Start (-2.5)

Probability

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$21.46

Liquidity

$457.42

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $457 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 123.4h

    LOW
  • 13:38Price

    Probability down -20.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -20.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -20.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -21.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -20.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -21.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -21.3pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -21.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -21.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -21.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -21.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -21.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -20.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -20.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -18.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.4pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.6pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.3pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.4pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.8pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.8pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.4pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for April 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FK Bodø/Glimt". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on eliteserien.no. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.eliteserien.no/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).