Will IK Start win on 2026-04-26?
Probability
26¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$290.31
Liquidity
$3.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 15h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 15 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 15:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 14.8h
- 00:13SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 26¢.
Biggest hourly move: -15.5pp at 2d ago (to 25¢).
Show 5 hourly moves
- 20:00 · +3.0pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -14.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -15.5pp → 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 2¢+0.7pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $364.3K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $287.8K
- 0¢-0.9pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $275.3K
- 86¢-3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $230.5K
- 1¢-6.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $228.8K
- 0¢-28.4pp
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $206.4K
Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026 If IK Start wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.