Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of April?
Probability
80¢
1h
+12.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+12.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 123h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 31.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 122.8h
- 17:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 123h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 79¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 79¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 73¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 77¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 77¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 77¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 77¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 77¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 75¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 77¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 77¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 80¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 70¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 98¢-0.8pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 97¢+6.5pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 90¢+0.3pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 95¢+2.5pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 17¢-7.5pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $6.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 4¢-6.6pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢+0.4pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $10 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢+0.3pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $11 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 79¢+1.0pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 56¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $485.3K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $473.4K
- 0¢-1.7pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $471.6K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.5K
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $406.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo FinanceAmbiguous wordingfinance.yahoo.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.