Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-04-26?
Probability
56¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+16.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 31h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $2.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 31h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 31 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 31.0h
- 13:32SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 31h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 56¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 49¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 49¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 49¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 49¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026 If Club Alianza Lima wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://liga1.pe/News consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).