OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 2, 2026

Will Bath win?

Probability

23¢

+0.0pp

24h

-4.5pp

24h Vol

$10.4K

Liquidity

$982.44

Probability (last 7 days)

-27.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 05:11

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 179.3h
LOW
05:11Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 179h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
05:00Price
Probability down -12.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -14.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -14.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -14.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -14.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -13.5pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -13.5pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -13.0pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -10.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -7.0pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -10.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability down -21.5pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -21.5pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -22.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -22.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -22.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -22.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -22.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -22.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -23.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -23.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -23.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -23.5pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -23.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -23.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -18.0pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventPremiership Rugby: Northampton Saints vs Bath

Category · Other

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If Bath wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 2, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: https://www.premiershiprugby.com/
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

19 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket