OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)

Probability

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$992.73

Probability (last 7 days)

-11.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 21:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $993 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 14h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 14 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 10:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 13.9h

    HIGH
  • 20:38Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.

Biggest hourly move: -9.1pp at 4d ago (to 5¢).

Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 2d ago · -4.4pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -5.4pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -5.3pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -5.3pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -6.2pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -5.8pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -5.8pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -5.9pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -5.3pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -5.3pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -5.0pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -4.6pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -4.1pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -4.8pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -4.7pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -4.7pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -4.6pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -7.6pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -7.6pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -7.6pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -7.6pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -9.1pp → 5¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for April 26 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "US Sassuolo Calcio" if US Sassuolo Calcio win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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