Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 28?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.6pp
24h Vol
$535.79
Liquidity
$11.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 2¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 75h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $11.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 74.8h
- 13:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 75h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 2¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 2¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 3¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 1¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.8pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.3pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).