CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 26?

Probability

99¢

1h

-0.4pp

24h

+2.9pp

24h Vol

$700.87

Liquidity

$16.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 99¢; -0.4pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 18h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $16.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Expiry in 18h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 18 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 18.0h

    HIGH
  • 22:02Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 18h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+3.2pp over the last 24h, now 99¢.

Biggest hourly move: +15.5pp at 2d ago (to 93¢).

Show top 8 of 31 hourly moves
  • 1d ago · +11.6pp → 96¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +14.0pp → 96¢
  • 2d ago · +13.0pp → 96¢
  • 2d ago · +13.0pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · +14.5pp → 94¢
  • 2d ago · +15.5pp → 93¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.