Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 26?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.8pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$16.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 4¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 20h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $16.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 20h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 20 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 19.8h
- 20:14SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 20h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-6.3pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -36.5pp at 02:00 (to 6¢).
Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -14.2pp → 4¢
- 19:00 · -13.7pp → 3¢
- 17:00 · -12.6pp → 4¢
- 15:00 · -13.0pp → 5¢
- 14:00 · -15.0pp → 5¢
- 12:00 · -18.0pp → 5¢
- 11:00 · -21.0pp → 7¢
- 09:00 · -18.5pp → 8¢
- 08:00 · -21.0pp → 6¢
- 06:00 · -25.5pp → 6¢
- 05:00 · -24.0pp → 6¢
- 03:00 · -34.5pp → 6¢
- 02:00 · -36.5pp → 6¢
- 00:00 · -19.0pp → 8¢
- 23:00 · -29.0pp → 8¢
- 21:00 · -26.0pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · -27.5pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · -27.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -23.0pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -21.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -15.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -13.5pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · -12.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -11.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -30.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -13.0pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.