SportsExpires May 1, 2026
Creator

Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5

Probability

12¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$273.08

Liquidity

$6.0K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-8.5pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 17:00Apr 30, 2026, 16:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 12¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 9h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $6.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 9h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 9 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 9.3h

    HIGH
  • 16:41Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 9h.

    LOW

Price movement

-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.

Biggest hourly move: -4.0pp at 14:00 (to 13¢).

Show top 8 of 15 hourly moves
  • 16:41 · -4.0pp → 12¢
  • 15:00 · -4.0pp → 12¢
  • 14:00 · -4.0pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 4d ago · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 4d ago · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 4d ago · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 4d ago · -3.5pp → 17¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Club Alianza Atlético and CSyD Macará, scheduled for April 30 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Club Alianza Atlético and CSyD Macará combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebol.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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