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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 29, 2026

Will Caracas FC win on 2026-04-29?

Probability

20¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$69.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 20¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Divergence signal firing

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.5pp.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the 1h vs 24h trend on the chart above — divergence resolves either by 1h reverting to the 24h direction or by the 24h trend flipping.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 101.3h

    LOW
  • 16:39Signal

    Signal · Short-term vs. trend divergence

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.5pp.

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 29, 2026 If Caracas FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
conmebol.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets