SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 1, 2026
Creator

Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 0 Samsunspor?

Probability

94¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+42.0pp

24h Vol

$1.1K

Liquidity

$5.3K

Research loop

Inspect the market

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

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Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

LIVE

Reason

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+44.0pp 7d
1007550250
94¢
May 11, 2026, 13:00 UTCMay 18, 2026, 12:37 UTC
updated 12:37:37 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-18T12-37Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 42pp over 24h

    Now 94¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 89¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • Jun 1, 17:30 UTCScheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 340.9h

    LOW

Price movement

+42.0pp over the last 24h, now 94¢.

Biggest hourly move: +35.0pp at 12:00 (to 95¢).

Show top 8 of 34 hourly moves
  • 12:00 · +35.0pp → 95¢
  • 10:00 · +33.0pp → 93¢
  • 09:00 · +33.5pp → 94¢
  • 07:00 · +31.5pp → 92¢
  • 05:00 · +32.0pp → 93¢
  • 03:00 · +31.0pp → 92¢
  • 02:00 · +30.0pp → 93¢
  • May 15, 00:00 UTC · +13.5pp → 63¢
updated 12:37:37 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 12:37:37 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventFenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor - Exact Score
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming TFF Super Kupa game between Fenerbahçe SK and Samsunspor, scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor match originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Sports hard marker

Matched term

suns

Reason

Question text matched the sports hard-marker "suns" — runs before rules to catch upstream mis-tagging.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 0 Samsunspor?"?

As of Mon, 18 May 2026 12:37:37 GMT, YES is priced at 94% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +42.0pp in the last 24 hours, -0.5pp in the last hour, and +44.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 1, 2026 (2026-06-01T17:30:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$1.1K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $1.1K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $5.3K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 3.0¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

4 wallets
Open on Polymarket