Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+62.0pp
24h Vol
$9.0K
Liquidity
$94.3K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 62pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $9.0k traded against $94.3k of visible liquidity (0.10× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 20:03SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 17:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
Price movement
+62.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +64.0pp at 19:00 (to 100¢).
Show 6 hourly moves
- 20:03 · +64.0pp → 100¢
- 19:00 · +64.0pp → 100¢
- 17:00 · +3.5pp → 39¢
- 15:00 · +3.0pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 38¢
- 3d ago · -3.5pp → 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Süper Lig game between Samsunspor and Galatasaray SK, scheduled for May 2 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Samsunspor and Galatasaray SK combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on tff.org. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.