SportsExpires May 5, 2026
Creator

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Probability

49¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$784.44

Liquidity

$3.3K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 21:00Apr 30, 2026, 20:17
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 49¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 118.7h

    LOW

Price movement

-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.

Biggest hourly move: +5.5pp at 1d ago (to 52¢).

Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
  • 14:00 · +4.0pp → 50¢
  • 11:00 · +4.0pp → 50¢
  • 10:00 · +4.5pp → 51¢
  • 09:00 · +4.5pp → 51¢
  • 03:00 · +4.0pp → 50¢
  • 21:00 · +5.5pp → 52¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 52¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 46¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Arsenal FC and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for May 5 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Arsenal FC and Club Atlético de Madrid each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
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