Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$143.22
Liquidity
$5.8K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
-23.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 7¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $5.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 118.7h
Price movement
-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.
Biggest hourly move: +22.0pp at 2d ago (to 49¢).
Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
- 20:00 · -17.5pp → 7¢
- 19:00 · -17.5pp → 7¢
- 17:00 · -17.5pp → 7¢
- 13:00 · -21.0pp → 7¢
- 11:00 · -20.0pp → 8¢
- 10:00 · -19.5pp → 8¢
- 09:00 · -18.0pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · +22.0pp → 49¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for May 5 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arsenal FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
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