SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Probability

26¢

1h

-23.5pp

24h

-13.5pp

24h Vol

$9.6K

Liquidity

$835.63

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (48.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 04:00Apr 29, 2026, 19:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 14pp over 24h

    Now 26¢; -23.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 11.4× turnover

    $9.6k traded against $836 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 04
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 48.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 05
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-13.5pp over the last 24h, now 26¢.

Biggest hourly move: +19.0pp at 19:00 (to 44¢).

Show 3 hourly moves
  • 19:00 · +19.0pp → 44¢
  • 18:00 · +4.5pp → 45¢
  • 17:00 · +3.0pp → 44¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Club Atlético de Madrid and Arsenal FC, scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 11 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
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