SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 29, 2026

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Probability

44¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+9.0pp

24h Vol

$5.7K

Liquidity

$1.2K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (44.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.5pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 20:00Apr 29, 2026, 19:09
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 9pp over 24h

    Now 44¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 4.8× turnover

    $5.7k traded against $1.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 04
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 44.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 05
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:09Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolved 0h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+9.0pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.

Biggest hourly move: +19.0pp at 18:00 (to 44¢).

Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
  • 19:09 · +10.5pp → 43¢
  • 18:00 · +19.0pp → 44¢
  • 03:00 · -8.5pp → 32¢
  • 22:00 · -14.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · +11.5pp → 52¢
  • 2d ago · -10.0pp → 32¢
  • 3d ago · -17.0pp → 25¢
  • 3d ago · +16.0pp → 40¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Club Atlético de Madrid and Arsenal FC, scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC match originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
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