Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
Probability
30¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$6.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 30¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 96h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $6.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 96.4h
- 18:37SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 96h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-5.5pp over the last 24h, now 30¢.
Biggest hourly move: -27.5pp at 2d ago (to 29¢).
Show all 36 hour-by-hour ticks
- 06:00 · +3.5pp → 30¢
- 05:00 · +3.5pp → 30¢
- 03:00 · +3.5pp → 30¢
- 02:00 · +3.5pp → 30¢
- 00:00 · +3.5pp → 30¢
- 22:00 · +7.5pp → 34¢
- 20:00 · +7.5pp → 34¢
- 19:00 · +4.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · +10.5pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -6.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -25.5pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -12.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -20.5pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -27.5pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -26.5pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -24.5pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 29¢
- 4d ago · +3.5pp → 32¢
- 4d ago · +4.0pp → 32¢
- 4d ago · +4.0pp → 32¢
- 4d ago · +4.0pp → 32¢
- 4d ago · +5.0pp → 33¢
- 4d ago · +6.0pp → 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 29, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.