SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 28, 2026

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 2 FC Bayern München?

Probability

27¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+24.2pp

24h Vol

$41.67

Liquidity

$237.64

Probability (last 7 days)

-19.9pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:40
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 24pp over 24h

    Now 27¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 51.2¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 72.3h

    LOW
  • 18:40Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+24.2pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.

Biggest hourly move: -44.8pp at 05:00 (to 3¢).

Show all 17 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:40 · -19.6pp → 27¢
  • 17:00 · -19.6pp → 27¢
  • 15:00 · -19.5pp → 27¢
  • 14:00 · -43.6pp → 3¢
  • 12:00 · -43.9pp → 3¢
  • 11:00 · -44.1pp → 3¢
  • 09:00 · -44.3pp → 3¢
  • 08:00 · -44.4pp → 3¢
  • 06:00 · -44.6pp → 3¢
  • 05:00 · -44.8pp → 3¢
  • 03:00 · -44.3pp → 3¢
  • 02:00 · -44.3pp → 3¢
  • 00:00 · -44.3pp → 3¢
  • 23:00 · -44.3pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -44.5pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -41.6pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · +41.9pp → 45¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München - Exact Score
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München match originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statisticsextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (51.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

8 wallets
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