Loading shell…
SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 28, 2026

FC Bayern München leading at halftime?

Probability

28¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$16.59

Liquidity

$4.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 28¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 74h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 74.1h

    LOW
  • 16:56Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 74h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 28, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statisticsextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.