FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$16.59
Liquidity
$4.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 28¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 74h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 74.1h
- 16:56SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 74h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 30¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 22¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 22¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 22¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 28, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.