Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$45.98
Liquidity
$4.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 119.3h
Price movement
-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 16¢.
Biggest hourly move: -32.0pp at 03:00 (to 16¢).
Show all 5 hour-by-hour ticks
- 03:00 · -32.0pp → 16¢
- 21:00 · +4.5pp → 19¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 14¢+1.0pp
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 7¢-0.5pp
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Other · Vol $0.00
- 8¢-5.0pp
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 75¢-0.5pp
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $0.00
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Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
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Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
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- 12¢+0.5pp
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 55¢0.0pp
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Other · Vol $0.00
- 22¢-27.0pp
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Market Description
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for April 30 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsuefa.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.