SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Probability

68¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$2.89

Liquidity

$26.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+17.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 21:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Expiry in 7h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 03:59Resolve

    Market resolves in 7.4h

    HIGH
  • 20:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 68¢.

Biggest hourly move: +18.0pp at 4d ago (to 69¢).

Show all 28 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 68¢
  • 3d ago · +7.0pp → 69¢
  • 3d ago · +7.0pp → 69¢
  • 3d ago · +7.0pp → 69¢
  • 3d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 4d ago · +17.5pp → 68¢
  • 4d ago · +17.5pp → 68¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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