UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Probability
63¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$18.95
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 63¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 351.1h
- 12:51PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 63¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 63¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 63¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢-1.0pp
Will Alexander Volkov win by KO or TKO?
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkov" if Alexander Volkov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Waldo Cortes-Acosta" if Waldo Cortes-Acosta is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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