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SportsExpires Apr 19, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Andre Lima vs. DongHun Choi (Flyweight, Prelims)

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$10.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $10.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  2. 2

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Andre Lima" if Andre Lima is officially declared the winner of the fight against DongHun Choi at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "DongHun Choi" if DongHun Choi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 19, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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