UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)
Probability
22¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$196.60
Liquidity
$1.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $1.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 183.1h
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 22¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 56¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will Beneil Dariush win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 55¢0.0pp
Will Quillan Salkilld win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢+1.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 48¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢0.0pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢0.0pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Beneil Dariush" if Beneil Dariush is officially declared the winner of the fight against Quillan Salkilld at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Quillan Salkilld" if Quillan Salkilld is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).