O/U 2.5 Rounds

• 01
  Price move

  Up 1pp over 24h

  Now 65¢; flat in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

• 03
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 7.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Clayton Carpenter and Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Clayton Carpenter and Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 23, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.