Fight to Go the Distance?
Probability
56¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-8.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 8pp over 24h
Now 56¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 11h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 11.0h
- 17:02SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 61¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 56¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 56¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 56¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 56¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 56¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 55¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 55¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 61¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Davey Grant and Adrian Luna Martinetti at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.