UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
Probability
28¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$9.22
Liquidity
$446.68
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 344h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 31.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 344.4h
- 19:36SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 344h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 28¢.
Biggest hourly move: -11.0pp at 2d ago (to 26¢).
Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · +3.0pp → 28¢
- 17:00 · +3.0pp → 28¢
- 15:00 · +3.0pp → 28¢
- 14:00 · +3.0pp → 28¢
- 12:00 · +3.0pp → 28¢
- 10:00 · +3.0pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 26¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 49¢0.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢+0.5pp
Will Djorden Santos win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 54¢0.0pp
Will Baisangur Susurkaev win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢+1.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
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- 52¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
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- 50¢-0.5pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+32.5pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Djorden Santos" if Djorden Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Baisangur Susurkaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Baisangur Susurkaev" if Baisangur Susurkaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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