SportsExpires May 10, 2026

Fight to Go the Distance?

Probability

49¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$29.38

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 23:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:31
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 342h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 85.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 342.5h

    LOW
  • 21:31Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 342h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.

Biggest hourly move: -3.5pp at 3d ago (to 48¢).

Show 3 hourly moves
  • 3d ago · -3.5pp → 48¢
  • 3d ago · -3.5pp → 48¢
  • 3d ago · -3.5pp → 48¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Djorden Santos and Baisangur Susurkaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 10, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (85.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.