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SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)

Probability

26¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-2.0pp

24h Vol

$12.7K

Liquidity

$270.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 26¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $12.7k traded against $270.9k of visible liquidity (0.05× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 15h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 15 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 03:59Resolve

    Market resolves in 14.8h

    HIGH
  • 13:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:11Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Eric McConico" if Eric McConico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodolfo Vieira at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rodolfo Vieira" if Rodolfo Vieira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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