UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$6.05
Liquidity
$467.12
Probability (last 7 days)
-19.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 183.1h
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 16¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 16¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 16¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 14¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 51¢0.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 47¢0.0pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Gerald Meerschaert win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢0.0pp
Will Jacob Malkoun win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 59¢-0.5pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 41¢0.0pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Gerald Meerschaert" if Gerald Meerschaert is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacob Malkoun at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Jacob Malkoun" if Jacob Malkoun is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).