UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

1. 1

   Light volume — move on a thin book

   Only $18.6k traded against $236.4k of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Expiry in 13h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve to "Julia Polastri" if Julia Polastri is officially declared the winner of the fight against Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.