UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Probability
21¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$120.0K
Liquidity
$106.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 21¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 15h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 15 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 14.8h
- 13:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 61¢+1.5pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 25¢-6.0pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 21¢-1.5pp
Will Mayra Bueno Silva win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 16¢-33.0pp
Will Michelle Montague win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 32¢-12.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $38.46
- 75¢+17.5pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 65¢+11.5pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
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- 64¢-2.0pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $6.5K
- 27¢-16.0pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Mayra Bueno Silva" if Mayra Bueno Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Michelle Montague at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Michelle Montague" if Michelle Montague is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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