O/U 2.5 Rounds
Probability
64¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$6.6K
Liquidity
$11.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 64¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $11.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 9h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 9 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 9.3h
- 18:43SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 64¢.
Biggest hourly move: +6.0pp at 3d ago (to 66¢).
Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
- 00:00 · -3.0pp → 64¢
- 22:00 · -3.0pp → 64¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 66¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 21¢-1.5pp
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Sports · Vol $138.9K
- 61¢-1.5pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 26¢-2.0pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 20¢-3.0pp
Will Mayra Bueno Silva win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 24¢-24.5pp
Will Michelle Montague win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 33¢-11.5pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $38.46
- 72¢+14.5pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $1.09
- 64¢+10.5pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+32.5pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 100¢+40.5pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.8M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
Market Description
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Mayra Bueno Silva and Michelle Montague at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Mayra Bueno Silva and Michelle Montague at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.