O/U 2.5 Rounds
Probability
63¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$13.7K
Liquidity
$69.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $13.7k traded against $69.3k of visible liquidity (0.20× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 15h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 15 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 14.6h
- 13:23SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 62¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 37¢-2.0pp
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Sports · Vol $82.4K
- 60¢+2.5pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 36¢-16.5pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢-13.0pp
Will Raoni Barcelos win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $3.54
- 26¢+1.0pp
Will Montel Jackson win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 26¢-20.5pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 74¢+20.5pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 67¢+16.5pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 39¢-4.0pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $888.9K
- 4¢+0.4pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $780.1K
- 100¢+57.5pp
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovic
Sports · Vol $644.6K
- 13¢+1.4pp
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $526.3K
Market Description
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Raoni Barcelos and Montel Jackson at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Raoni Barcelos and Montel Jackson at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).